OASIS STAR FOR ARJAY DIAMOND SALVER

Sunday, February 22, 2009

MUMBAI RACES


1. MILES AND MORE is tracking well, he is an out and out stayer who has not been tried in all his runs, looks good on handicap. FANTASTIC FURY comes into contention based on his last run. BLUE VISION has not been seen at Pune, definitely needs a race run , the mock race was notable.

MILES AND MORE-BLUE VISION

2. FREE SPIRIT may place, the rider is not good in sprints. WELLS FARGO ran suggestively last time. BORZU AGAIN is being urged in tracks. TE QUIERO has a place chance once again. MODESTY has been running in patches during Pune, may surprise.

WELLS FARGO-BORZU AGAIN-TE QUIERO

3. SEA SPARROW who is a half brother to ON THE DOT is shining in works. ASTRAAL was eye catching in final stages of her last run. BLUE DANUBE is half sister to good type MONOPOLY, should run well. NATOUCHKA was a notable runner in million race.

SEA SPARROW-NATOUCHKA-ASTRAAL

4. FIRE WITHIN is tracking well. SUPREME FALCON may try to hit the front and stay on. ALHOMARA has been a disappointment so far. GRACES is full sister to black type WAVES OF GLORY, for some reason she could not be trained to race so far. The number of gates indicate some problem with the filly.

SUPREME FALCON-FIRE WITHIN-ALHOMARA

5. ARTISTIC LIASON is working well after the last second. PALME D’OR is speedy. WAR CRAFT has flopped as a favorite, looks raw in works. PAPER KING is kept easy in tracks, the pedigree is promising.

ARTISTIC LIASION-PAPER KING-PALME D’OR

6. MONOPOLY is a good type who is reverse on handicap vis a vis SCHNELL who has the benefit of a run. FLAMES OF FIRE is an upset candidate. STAR ADVENTURE won as a good thing, has improved. BEE QUICK was a big disappointment last time as a favorite, it just folded against ordinary horses, can not be backed. BU ATTIFEL has learned to race only as a five year old, can run well here.

SCHNELL-MONOPOLY-STAR ADVENTURE

7. OASIS STAR is the champion sprinter of last year who lost due to change of venue in Pune. Now he is refreshing in works and should be a good thing. The threat may be from RUNNING BULL who was a good 2nd to RHAPSIDION SNOW. CZAR ALEXANDER looks good in works. REJUVENITE and PEPE JUNIOR are hopefuls.

OASIS STAR-RUNNING BULL-CZAR ALEXANDER

8. ROMANTIC IMPACT is greatly improved, all have to beat him. ROSE BOWL is running after a long time, can not be backed for win despite the good works. GOLDEN SYMBOL is working well. BELLA has been prepared well, low weight appeals.

ROMANTIC IMPACT-BELLA-ROSE BOWL

9. CHIEFTAIN has a positive rider switch. SECRET TALK can not be expected to run well with Narredu who is from Shroff camp. The well bred ARES( computer flicker), looks to have come to hand. HIGHLAND QUEST has been given a couple of gates. DYNAMITE may run on board.

CHIEFTAIN-ARES-HIGHLAND QUEST

10. ILLUSSIONIST who has been working very well with ARGENTINA & SEA PRINCESS looks good on track work. This brother to PILLATUS is conceding weight to the likes of FOREST NATIVE etc who are well hardened with runs. BELLIGRENT is well bred and may run well. FORCE OF LAW is in form.

FOREST NATIVE-ILLUSIONIST-FORCE OF LAW


DAYS BEST===OASIS STAR

DOUBLE--------SEA SPARROW & ROMANTIC IMPACT

4 comments:

Happy said...

Quite impressive.

Thank you.

Cheers,
Happy/-

Anonymous said...

Sir my same question again,
Waiting for your reply:

I am asking you the biggest question of the decade ! No blogger or racing punter did not asked any handicapper. Since you are specialising in pedigrees, I just want to ask you this question.

Suppose following Sires are running together carrying all 57 kgs each, in the following distances: How they will finish on each distance, with approximate winning margins?

1000m, 1100m, 1200m, 1400m, 1600m, 1800m, 2000m, 2200m, 2400m, 2800m, 3000m, 3200m.

Can you give the

1. BURDEN OF PROOF
2. DIFFIDENT
3. DUJA
4. GASWAR
5. MAJOR IMPACT
6. RAZEEN
7. STEINBECK

I will reveal my name after getting your reply.

Anonymous said...

MR ANNONYMOUS,
I think you will have to rephrase your question since the sires mentioned by you
can not be theoretically matched against each other for the simple reason that DUJA and GASWAR never raced in their lives. Out of the others, BURDEN OF PROOF won 12 races including a Grade 2 over distances of 1200M to 1600M hence he qualifies to beat most others comfortably over these very distances. DIFFIDENT who won 10 races incl a Grade 2 race should pose as a close contender and may pip the former over distances of 1400 or more since he was by a better performed sire NUREYEV who was a champion at 1400m. STEINBECK won a Grade 3 race and with 3 wins over 1000m to 1900m in france runs at a faraway 3rd place. MAJOR IMPACT placed in a Grade 3 race and he won 3 races over 1600m to 1700m. RAZEEN won only a listed race but he is a winner over 2000m, hence he should beat M IMPACT over longer distances.

2. Perhaps your question was to get a feed back on the influence of these sires over varying distances. Then it would be correct to assume that they produce runners out of equally matching mares as a fair share in the genes is also transmitted by the mothers. However to cut the discussion short the thumb rule could be that DIFFIDENT and BURDEN OF PROOF on an average stand ahead of others in giving speedy ones over 1000m to 1200m. DUJA is not consistent but throws out some speedy ones. RAZEEN is the classiest sire to be the leader in India, he may produce champions over all distances but his influence is noticeable over 14oom and more. No other sire can match his produce over staying distances. STEINBECK gives performers over all distances but most of them perform better when their is a cut in the track and on getting matured. MAJOR IMPACT is an average sire with best produce over middle distances. GASWAR is the other average sire who perform best over 1200m to 1400m.

sarat sharma

Anonymous said...

Hi,
I have posed same question in Horse Talk (Indiarace.com) alongwith your reply. They have already published it. I am waiting for the response from racing pundits.
Pankaj

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